Bundesliga Bundesliga February 14, 2026
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

32
FT
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Team Context
Hamburger SV
Rank#11
Played20
Points22
PPG1.1
Goal Diff-8
W D D D L
Union Berlin
9#Rank
21Played
25Points
1.19PPG
-8Goal Diff
D L L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.87
0-1
11.2%
8.95
1-0
9.3%
10.81
1-2
8.7%
11.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Hamburger SV 31% · 3.22
Draw 27% · 3.74
Union Berlin 42% · 2.37
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.1 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
W D D D L
Union Berlin Union Berlin
D L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Hamburger SV
Stat
Union Berlin
1.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.37
#11
League Pos.
#9
22 pts
Points
25 pts
1.1
Points / Game
1.19
-8
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
11
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV H
28 7 10 11 -9 31
12
Union Berlin Union Berlin A
27 8 7 12 -15 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record