Bundesliga Bundesliga March 1, 2026
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

12
FT
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Hamburger SV
Rank#11
Played22
Points26
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-7
D W W D D
RB Leipzig
5#Rank
23Played
41Points
1.78PPG
12Goal Diff
D D W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.87
0-1
10.4%
9.6
1-0
9.6%
10.37
1-2
8.4%
11.93
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.94
NO 48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Hamburger SV 34% · 2.91
Draw 27% · 3.74
RB Leipzig 39% · 2.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15 Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.58
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.0 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
D W W D D
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
D D W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Hamburger SV
Stat
RB Leipzig
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#11
League Pos.
#5
26 pts
Points
41 pts
1.18
Points / Game
1.78
-7
Goal Diff.
+12

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
5 W
Hamburger SV
Draw
RB Leipzig
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig A
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV H
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record