Bundesliga Bundesliga March 4, 2026
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

01
FT
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

We predicted

1-1 20% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 20%
Most Likely Scores
Hamburger SV 4+
5.6%
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
4.6%
Draw 4+
0.2%
Both Teams To Score
YES 0%
NO 100%
Likely: Clean sheet
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
100%
Over 0% Under 100%
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
100%
Over 0% Under 100%
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% Under 100%

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Hamburger SV
Stat
Bayer Leverkusen
1.44
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.36

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
26 21 4 1 +68 67
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
26 17 7 2 +29 58
3
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
26 15 5 6 +20 50
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
26 15 5 6 +17 50
5
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
26 14 5 7 +13 47
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen A
26 13 6 7 +16 45
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
26 10 8 8 +0 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
26 9 7 10 -6 34
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
26 8 7 11 -11 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
26 9 4 13 -14 31
11
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV H
26 7 9 10 -8 30
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
26 7 7 12 -13 28
13
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
26 6 9 11 -10 27
14
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
26 6 7 13 -9 25
15
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
26 6 7 13 -18 25
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
26 6 6 14 -19 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
26 5 6 15 -21 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
26 3 5 18 -34 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record