Primeira Liga Primeira Liga January 30, 2026
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

10
FT
Moreirense

Moreirense

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 30 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.33
0-1
9.1%
11.04
1-2
8.7%
11.53
1-0
8.3%
12.02
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Guimaraes 35% · 2.89
Draw 25% · 3.93
Moreirense 40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.23
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.33 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Guimaraes
Stat
Moreirense
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.44

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Guimaraes
Draw
Moreirense
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
26 22 3 1 +42 69
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Estoril Estoril
26 10 7 9 +5 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense A
26 10 5 11 -7 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes H
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
26 6 9 11 -19 27
12
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
26 6 7 13 -8 25
14
Estrela Estrela
26 5 10 11 -16 25
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
16
Nacional Nacional
26 5 7 14 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
26 1 7 18 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record