Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 14, 2026
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

12
FT
Famalicao

Famalicao

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-9
L D L W L
Famalicao
6#Rank
25Played
39Points
1.56PPG
9Goal Diff
W D W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.44
1-0
12.9%
7.73
0-1
12.0%
8.34
0-0
11.5%
8.67
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.3
NO 56% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guimaraes 36% · 2.75
Draw 32% · 3.16
Famalicao 32% · 3.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.73 Under 63% · 1.58
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57 Under 36% · 2.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.79 Under 83% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Guimaraes Guimaraes
L D L W L
Famalicao Famalicao
W D W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Guimaraes
Stat
Famalicao
1.12
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#9
League Pos.
#6
32 pts
Points
39 pts
1.28
Points / Game
1.56
-9
Goal Diff.
+9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
25 21 3 1 +39 66
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao A
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Moreirense Moreirense
25 10 5 10 -4 35
8
Estoril Estoril
25 9 7 9 +4 34
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes H
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
12
Estrela Estrela
25 5 10 10 -15 25
13
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
14
Rio Ave Rio Ave
25 5 9 11 -20 24
15
Nacional Nacional
25 5 7 13 -8 22
16
Santa Clara Santa Clara
25 5 7 13 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
25 1 7 17 -39 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record