Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
Guimaraes
16:00
VS
Casa Pia
Predicted score
1-0
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-9
L
D
L
W
L
Casa Pia
13#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-18Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
8.18
1-1
11.2%
8.9
2-0
10.6%
9.41
2-1
9.8%
10.25
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.02
NO
51% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guimaraes
38% · 2.63
Draw
32% · 3.11
Casa Pia
30% · 3.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.02
Under 51% · 1.98
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.64
Under 73% · 1.38
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Guimaraes
L
D
L
W
L
Casa Pia
D
D
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Guimaraes
Stat
Casa Pia
1.74
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#9
League Pos.
#13
32 pts
Points
24 pts
1.28
Points / Game
0.96
-9
Goal Diff.
-18
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Guimaraes
Draw
Casa Pia
5
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
H
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
A
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.