Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 22, 2026
Guadalajara
1–1
FT
CF Talavera
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Guadalajara
Rank#16
Played28
Points31
PPG1.11
Goal Diff-11
W
W
D
W
L
CF Talavera
17#Rank
28Played
30Points
1.07PPG
-9Goal Diff
D
D
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.03
1-0
11.8%
8.49
2-1
9.1%
10.99
2-0
8.6%
11.63
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 1.99
NO
50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guadalajara
42% · 2.39
Draw
30% · 3.36
CF Talavera
28% · 3.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17
Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4
Under 28% · 3.53
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.07
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Guadalajara
W
W
D
W
L
CF Talavera
D
D
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Guadalajara
Stat
CF Talavera
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06
#16
League Pos.
#17
31 pts
Points
30 pts
1.11
Points / Game
1.07
-11
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Guadalajara
Draw
CF Talavera
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zamora
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +0 | 45 |
| 9 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
A
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
H
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.