Liga MX Liga MX March 14, 2026
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

30
FT
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

We predicted

Guadalajara Chivas 4+ 60% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Guadalajara Chivas 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 60%
Team Context
Guadalajara Chivas
Rank#3
Played9
Points21
PPG2.33
Goal Diff5
W L L W W
Santos Laguna
18#Rank
10Played
5Points
0.5PPG
-14Goal Diff
W L D L L
Most Likely Scores
Guadalajara Chivas 4+
34.3%
3-0
10.8%
9.23
2-0
10.6%
9.45
3-1
8.3%
12.09
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Guadalajara Chivas 67% · 1.49
Draw 25% · 4.01
Santos Laguna 8% · 12.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38 Under 27% · 3.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12 Under 11% · 9.23
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.94 Under 48% · 2.07

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
W L L W W
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
W L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Guadalajara Chivas
Stat
Santos Laguna
3.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#3
League Pos.
#18
21 pts
Points
5 pts
2.33
Points / Game
0.5
+5
Goal Diff.
-14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas H
13 10 1 3 +14 31
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 7 6 1 +9 24
4
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
5
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna A
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record