Eredivisie
May 2, 2026
Groningen
16:45
VS
Excelsior
Predicted score
Groningen 4+
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 2 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Groningen
Rank#10
Played26
Points34
PPG1.31
Goal Diff0
W
L
L
L
L
Excelsior
15#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-17Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Groningen 4+
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
8.51
2-0
11.1%
9.01
1-1
10.5%
9.54
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.0
NO
50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Groningen
54% · 1.84
Draw
31% · 3.2
Excelsior
14% · 6.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91
Under 48% · 2.1
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.25
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.32
Under 70% · 1.43
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Groningen
W
L
L
L
L
Excelsior
L
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Groningen
Stat
Excelsior
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#10
League Pos.
#15
34 pts
Points
26 pts
1.31
Points / Game
1.0
+0
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Groningen
Draw
Excelsior
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
H
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
A
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.