Serie A
May 23, 2026
Gremio
22:00
VS
Santos
Predicted score
Gremio 4+
42% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 23 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Gremio
Rank#9
Played38
Points49
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-3
W
L
W
L
W
Santos
12#Rank
38Played
47Points
1.24PPG
-5Goal Diff
W
W
W
D
D
Most Likely Scores
Gremio 4+
18.2%
2-0
12.3%
8.16
1-0
10.9%
9.16
2-1
9.6%
10.37
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.06
NO
51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gremio
60% · 1.66
Draw
29% · 3.47
Santos
11% · 9.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.38
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24
Under 20% · 5.1
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.82
Under 65% · 1.55
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Gremio
W
L
W
L
W
Santos
W
W
W
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Gremio
Stat
Santos
2.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#9
League Pos.
#12
49 pts
Points
47 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.24
-3
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Gremio
Draw
Santos
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
H
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
A
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.