Serie A
August 30, 2026
Gremio
20:00
VS
Chapecoense-sc
Predicted score
Gremio 4+
51% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, August 30 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
51%
Team Context
Gremio
Rank#8
Played4
Points6
PPG1.5
Goal Diff0
W
L
W
L
Chapecoense-sc
9#Rank
3Played
5Points
1.67PPG
2Goal Diff
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Gremio 4+
28.6%
2-1
8.2%
12.21
3-1
7.7%
12.94
2-2
6.0%
16.56
Both Teams To Score
YES
72% · 1.38
NO
28% · 3.63
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Gremio
57% · 1.76
Draw
28% · 3.56
Chapecoense-sc
15% · 6.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 4.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
93%
Over 93% · 1.08
Under 7% · 13.62
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63
Under 39% · 2.59
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Gremio
W
L
W
L
Chapecoense-sc
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Gremio
Stat
Chapecoense-sc
2.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#8
League Pos.
#9
6 pts
Points
5 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.67
+0
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Gremio
Draw
Chapecoense-sc
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |
Sao Paulo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
H
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atletico-MG
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |
Chapecoense-sc
A
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.