Serie A Serie A February 26, 2026
Gremio

Gremio

21
FT
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Thursday, February 26 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Gremio
Rank#9
Played38
Points49
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-3
W L W L W
Atletico-MG
11#Rank
38Played
48Points
1.26PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.2%
6.18
2-0
14.3%
6.98
Gremio 4+
10.2%
1-1
10.1%
9.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.6
NO 61% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gremio 65% · 1.54
Draw 22% · 4.46
Atletico-MG 13% · 7.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.22
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.58 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Gremio Gremio
W L W L W
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Gremio
Stat
Atletico-MG
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.62
#9
League Pos.
#11
49 pts
Points
48 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.26
-3
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Gremio
Draw
Atletico-MG
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
8 5 1 2 +6 16
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
8 5 1 2 +5 16
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
6
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio H
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG A
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
7 2 0 5 -5 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record