FKF Premier League FKF Premier League April 4, 2026
GOR Mahia

GOR Mahia

00
FT
Kariobangi Sharks

Kariobangi Sharks

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
GOR Mahia
Rank#1
Played25
Points56
PPG2.24
Goal Diff26
W W D W W
Kariobangi Sharks
15#Rank
26Played
25Points
0.96PPG
-11Goal Diff
L L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.88
1-1
11.7%
8.53
2-0
11.5%
8.71
2-1
9.3%
10.79
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
GOR Mahia 53% · 1.87
Draw 35% · 2.85
Kariobangi Sharks 11% · 8.72
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34 Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.21
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.59 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
W W D W W
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
L L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

GOR Mahia
Stat
Kariobangi Sharks
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.81
#1
League Pos.
#15
56 pts
Points
25 pts
2.24
Points / Game
0.96
+26
Goal Diff.
-11

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia H
26 17 6 3 +26 57
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
26 15 7 4 +16 52
3
Homeboyz Homeboyz
26 12 9 5 +14 45
4
Police Police
26 11 10 5 +6 43
5
Shabana Shabana
26 12 7 7 +4 43
6
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
26 10 8 8 +5 38
7
Bandari Bandari
27 8 14 5 +3 38
8
KCB KCB
26 10 7 9 -1 37
9
Tusker Tusker
26 11 4 11 -3 37
10
Nairobi United Nairobi United
25 9 8 8 +4 35
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
26 6 13 7 -1 31
12
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
26 7 10 9 -8 31
13
Mathare United Mathare United
26 8 6 12 -5 30
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks A
27 5 11 11 -11 26
15
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
27 6 7 14 -7 25
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
27 5 10 12 -8 25
17
Bidco United Bidco United
26 4 10 12 -13 22
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
27 3 7 17 -21 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record