Primeira Liga
April 26, 2026
GIL Vicente
16:00
VS
Casa Pia
Predicted score
GIL Vicente 4+
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
GIL Vicente
Rank#5
Played25
Points41
PPG1.64
Goal Diff12
D
L
L
W
W
Casa Pia
13#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-18Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
GIL Vicente 4+
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
6.84
1-0
13.9%
7.22
3-0
10.3%
9.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.47
NO
59% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
GIL Vicente
61% · 1.64
Draw
29% · 3.44
Casa Pia
10% · 10.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96
Under 49% · 2.04
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.08
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.47
Under 71% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
GIL Vicente
D
L
L
W
W
Casa Pia
D
D
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
GIL Vicente
Stat
Casa Pia
2.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.62
#5
League Pos.
#13
41 pts
Points
24 pts
1.64
Points / Game
0.96
+12
Goal Diff.
-18
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
GIL Vicente
Draw
Casa Pia
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
H
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
A
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.