Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
GIL Vicente
16:00
VS
Arouca
Predicted score
GIL Vicente 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
GIL Vicente
Rank#5
Played25
Points41
PPG1.64
Goal Diff12
D
L
L
W
W
Arouca
11#Rank
25Played
26Points
1.04PPG
-21Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
GIL Vicente 4+
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
7.33
1-0
12.6%
7.96
3-0
9.9%
10.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.28
NO
56% · 1.78
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
GIL Vicente
47% · 2.13
Draw
29% · 3.46
Arouca
24% · 4.12
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.85
Under 46% · 2.18
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.29
Under 22% · 4.49
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.16
Under 68% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
GIL Vicente
D
L
L
W
W
Arouca
L
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
GIL Vicente
Stat
Arouca
2.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.68
#5
League Pos.
#11
41 pts
Points
26 pts
1.64
Points / Game
1.04
+12
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
4 D
1 W
GIL Vicente
Draw
Arouca
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
H
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
A
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.