Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 14, 2026
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

22
FT
Alverca

Alverca

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
GIL Vicente
Rank#5
Played25
Points41
PPG1.64
Goal Diff12
D L L W W
Alverca
10#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-15Goal Diff
D D D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.57
2-0
14.3%
6.99
GIL Vicente 4+
11.9%
1-1
9.7%
10.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.51
NO 60% · 1.66
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
GIL Vicente 58% · 1.72
Draw 31% · 3.26
Alverca 11% · 8.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4 Under 28% · 3.51
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.11 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
D L L W W
Alverca Alverca
D D D D L

Key Stats Comparison

GIL Vicente
Stat
Alverca
1.88
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#5
League Pos.
#10
41 pts
Points
28 pts
1.64
Points / Game
1.12
+12
Goal Diff.
-15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
GIL Vicente
Draw
Alverca
8 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
25 21 3 1 +39 66
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente H
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Moreirense Moreirense
25 10 5 10 -4 35
8
Estoril Estoril
25 9 7 9 +4 34
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca A
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Arouca Arouca
26 7 5 14 -22 26
12
Estrela Estrela
25 5 10 10 -15 25
13
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
14
Rio Ave Rio Ave
25 5 9 11 -20 24
15
Nacional Nacional
25 5 7 13 -8 22
16
Santa Clara Santa Clara
25 5 7 13 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
25 1 7 17 -39 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record