Liga III - Serie 1 Liga III - Serie 1 March 21, 2026
Gheorgheni

Gheorgheni

41
FT
Aerostar Bacau

Aerostar Bacau

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Gheorgheni
Rank#11
Played20
Points18
PPG0.9
Goal Diff-18
W L L L D
Aerostar Bacau
6#Rank
20Played
28Points
1.4PPG
-5Goal Diff
W L W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.4%
9.66
Gheorgheni 4+
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
10.71
1-0
7.5%
13.32
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.6
NO 38% · 2.66
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Gheorgheni 33% · 3.08
Draw 32% · 3.14
Aerostar Bacau 36% · 2.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.63 Under 38% · 2.6
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.75
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.55 Under 61% · 1.64

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Gheorgheni Gheorgheni
W L L L D
Aerostar Bacau Aerostar Bacau
W L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Gheorgheni
Stat
Aerostar Bacau
1.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.38
#11
League Pos.
#6
18 pts
Points
28 pts
0.9
Points / Game
1.4
-18
Goal Diff.
-5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Gheorgheni
Draw
Aerostar Bacau
9 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Soimii Gura Humorului Soimii Gura Humorului
21 17 2 2 +45 53
2
Cetatea Suceava Cetatea Suceava
21 14 2 5 +32 44
3
Viitorul Onesti Viitorul Onesti
21 9 6 6 +8 33
4
Stiinta Miroslava Stiinta Miroslava
21 10 3 8 -4 33
5
CSM FC Vaslui CSM FC Vaslui
21 8 6 7 +2 30
6
USV Iaşi USV Iaşi
21 8 4 9 -16 28
7
Aerostar Bacau Aerostar Bacau A
21 8 4 9 -8 28
8
Bucovina Rădăuţi Bucovina Rădăuţi
21 8 4 9 +2 28
9
Odorheiu Secuiesc Odorheiu Secuiesc
21 7 6 8 -4 27
10
Gheorgheni Gheorgheni H
21 6 3 12 -15 21
11
CSM Adjud CSM Adjud
21 5 6 10 -9 21
12
FC Bacău II FC Bacău II
21 2 2 17 -33 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record