Iraqi League
April 5, 2026
Gharraf
14:00
VS
Erbil
Predicted score
1-1
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Gharraf
Rank#14
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-2
W
L
L
L
L
Erbil
3#Rank
25Played
52Points
2.08PPG
17Goal Diff
D
D
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.59
0-1
13.0%
7.69
1-0
10.5%
9.51
0-0
10.4%
9.63
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.2
NO
55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gharraf
18% · 5.58
Draw
37% · 2.7
Erbil
45% · 2.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.53
Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.95
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.17
Under 81% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Gharraf
W
L
L
L
L
Erbil
D
D
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Gharraf
Stat
Erbil
1.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.25
#14
League Pos.
#3
32 pts
Points
52 pts
1.28
Points / Game
2.08
-2
Goal Diff.
+17
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 59 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 |
Erbil
A
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +17 | 52 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |
Al Zawra'a
|
26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Zakho
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 46 |
| 7 |
Al-Karma
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 44 |
| 8 |
Al Karkh
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 44 |
| 9 |
Newroz
|
26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Duhok
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Diyala
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Naft
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Mosul
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |
Gharraf
H
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 |
Al Minaa Basra
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 |
Naft Maysan
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 |
Baghdad
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -11 | 21 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
26 | 3 | 3 | 20 | -28 | 12 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
|
25 | 0 | 2 | 23 | -51 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.