Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
March 21, 2026
Gernika
17:30
VS
Náxara
Predicted score
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Gernika
Rank#10
Played27
Points38
PPG1.41
Goal Diff-5
L
L
L
D
L
Náxara
12#Rank
27Played
31Points
1.15PPG
-8Goal Diff
L
D
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.12
1-0
12.0%
8.34
2-1
9.2%
10.82
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.0
NO
50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gernika
43% · 2.33
Draw
30% · 3.38
Náxara
28% · 3.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16
Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.55
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.04
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Gernika
L
L
L
D
L
Náxara
L
D
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Gernika
Stat
Náxara
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#10
League Pos.
#12
38 pts
Points
31 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.15
-5
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Gernika
Draw
Náxara
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Unión
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +22 | 56 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Alavés II
|
27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | +17 | 50 |
| 3 |
UD Logroñés
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +31 | 47 |
| 4 |
Tudelano
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 |
Utebo
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 45 |
| 6 |
Ebro
|
27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | +12 | 41 |
| 7 |
Eibar II
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sestao River
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | +4 | 40 |
| 9 |
Amorebieta
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Gernika
H
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 |
Basconia
|
27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 |
Náxara
A
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Ejea
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 |
SD Logroñés
|
27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -13 | 30 |
| 15 |
Mutilvera
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 |
Beasain
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 25 |
| 17 |
Alfaro
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -22 | 19 |
| 18 |
Real Zaragoza II
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -27 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.