Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone F March 15, 2026
Fossombrone

Fossombrone

21
FT
Sammaurese

Sammaurese

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Fossombrone
Rank#9
Played26
Points33
PPG1.27
Goal Diff-4
D L L D D
Sammaurese
17#Rank
26Played
18Points
0.69PPG
-30Goal Diff
W L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.04
1-0
12.0%
8.3
2-1
9.1%
10.94
2-0
8.9%
11.3
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.02
NO 50% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Fossombrone 46% · 2.16
Draw 34% · 2.96
Sammaurese 20% · 5.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.13 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Fossombrone Fossombrone
D L L D D
Sammaurese Sammaurese
W L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Fossombrone
Stat
Sammaurese
1.47
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#9
League Pos.
#17
33 pts
Points
18 pts
1.27
Points / Game
0.69
-4
Goal Diff.
-30

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Fossombrone
Draw
Sammaurese
4 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record