UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League February 26, 2026
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

24
FT
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Thursday, February 26 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Fiorentina
Rank#15
Played6
Points9
PPG1.5
Goal Diff3
L W L L W
Jagiellonia
17#Rank
6Played
9Points
1.5PPG
1Goal Diff
D L W D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.0%
6.26
2-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
10.8%
9.27
0-0
9.5%
10.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.51
NO 60% · 1.66
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Fiorentina 62% · 1.63
Draw 24% · 4.21
Jagiellonia 15% · 6.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4 Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.13
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.76 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Fiorentina Fiorentina
L W L L W
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
D L W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Fiorentina
Stat
Jagiellonia
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.67
#15
League Pos.
#17
9 pts
Points
9 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.5
+3
Goal Diff.
+1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Fiorentina
Draw
Jagiellonia
9 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record