Bundesliga Bundesliga February 22, 2026
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

21
FT
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
FC St. Pauli
Rank#17
Played22
Points17
PPG0.77
Goal Diff-19
L W L D D
Werder Bremen
16#Rank
22Played
19Points
0.86PPG
-20Goal Diff
L L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.9%
5.92
0-0
15.2%
6.57
1-1
13.1%
7.66
0-1
11.8%
8.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.77
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC St. Pauli 43% · 2.31
Draw 31% · 3.19
Werder Bremen 25% · 3.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.43 Under 71% · 1.41
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.28
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.18 Under 88% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
L W L D D
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
L L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

FC St. Pauli
Stat
Werder Bremen
1.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#17
League Pos.
#16
17 pts
Points
19 pts
0.77
Points / Game
0.86
-19
Goal Diff.
-20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen A
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli H
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record