Bundesliga Bundesliga May 2, 2026
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

13:30
VS
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Predicted score

0-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, May 2 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
FC St. Pauli
Rank#16
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-17
D W W L W
FSV Mainz 05
15#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-12Goal Diff
D D D L W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
15.6%
6.42
1-0
15.0%
6.65
0-1
13.9%
7.17
1-1
13.5%
7.43
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.73
NO 63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC St. Pauli 25% · 3.93
Draw 37% · 2.68
FSV Mainz 05 37% · 2.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.51 Under 71% · 1.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.8 Under 45% · 2.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.45 Under 88% · 1.13

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
D W W L W
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
D D D L W

Key Stats Comparison

FC St. Pauli
Stat
FSV Mainz 05
0.96
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#16
League Pos.
#15
24 pts
Points
24 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.96
-17
Goal Diff.
-12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 A
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli H
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record