Bundesliga
April 11, 2026
FC St. Pauli
16:30
VS
Bayern München
Predicted score
Bayern München 4+
53% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
53%
Team Context
FC St. Pauli
Rank#16
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-17
D
W
W
L
W
Bayern München
1#Rank
25Played
66Points
2.64PPG
68Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Bayern München 4+
23.5%
0-2
13.9%
7.17
0-3
11.7%
8.54
0-1
11.1%
9.04
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.35
NO
58% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC St. Pauli
8% · 12.05
Draw
27% · 3.75
Bayern München
65% · 1.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66
Under 40% · 2.51
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.5
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.67
Under 62% · 1.6
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FC St. Pauli
D
W
W
L
W
Bayern München
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
FC St. Pauli
Stat
Bayern München
0.62
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.52
#16
League Pos.
#1
24 pts
Points
66 pts
0.96
Points / Game
2.64
-17
Goal Diff.
+68
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
5 W
FC St. Pauli
Draw
Bayern München
22
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
A
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | +32 | 64 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
H
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.