Primeira Liga Primeira Liga April 19, 2026
FC Porto

FC Porto

16:00
VS
Tondela

Tondela

Predicted score

2-0 48% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 19 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 48%
Team Context
FC Porto
Rank#1
Played25
Points66
PPG2.64
Goal Diff39
D W W W D
Tondela
17#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-20Goal Diff
L D W D D
Most Likely Scores
2-0
20.0%
5.0
1-0
18.2%
5.51
FC Porto 4+
17.5%
3-0
14.7%
6.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 23% · 4.34
NO 77% · 1.3
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Porto 67% · 1.5
Draw 27% · 3.73
Tondela 6% · 15.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.47
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC Porto FC Porto
D W W W D
Tondela Tondela
L D W D D

Key Stats Comparison

FC Porto
Stat
Tondela
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.3
#1
League Pos.
#17
66 pts
Points
19 pts
2.64
Points / Game
0.76
+39
Goal Diff.
-20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto H
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela A
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record