Primeira Liga Primeira Liga May 17, 2026
FC Porto

FC Porto

16:00
VS
Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Predicted score

2-0 47% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 47%
Team Context
FC Porto
Rank#1
Played25
Points66
PPG2.64
Goal Diff39
D W W W D
Santa Clara
16#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-9Goal Diff
W D D L L
Most Likely Scores
2-0
20.0%
5.0
1-0
19.7%
5.07
FC Porto 4+
14.4%
3-0
13.5%
7.4
Both Teams To Score
YES 23% · 4.36
NO 77% · 1.3
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Porto 65% · 1.54
Draw 28% · 3.56
Santa Clara 7% · 14.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.08
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.91 Under 80% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC Porto FC Porto
D W W W D
Santa Clara Santa Clara
W D D L L

Key Stats Comparison

FC Porto
Stat
Santa Clara
2.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.31
#1
League Pos.
#16
66 pts
Points
22 pts
2.64
Points / Game
0.88
+39
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto H
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara A
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record