Primeira Liga
February 22, 2026
FC Porto
1–0
FT
Rio Ave
We predicted
1-0
33% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 22 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
33%
Team Context
FC Porto
Rank#1
Played22
Points59
PPG2.68
Goal Diff36
W
D
L
W
W
Rio Ave
15#Rank
22Played
20Points
0.91PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.6%
6.42
2-0
14.9%
6.69
FC Porto 4+
12.5%
3-0
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.61
NO
62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Porto
69% · 1.45
Draw
20% · 4.9
Rio Ave
11% · 9.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.18
Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4
Under 29% · 3.5
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.12
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FC Porto
W
D
L
W
W
Rio Ave
L
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
FC Porto
Stat
Rio Ave
1.92
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.6
#1
League Pos.
#15
59 pts
Points
20 pts
2.68
Points / Game
0.91
+36
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
FC Porto
Draw
Rio Ave
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
H
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
A
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.