Primeira Liga
May 3, 2026
FC Porto
16:00
VS
Alverca
Predicted score
FC Porto 4+
48% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
48%
Team Context
FC Porto
Rank#1
Played25
Points66
PPG2.64
Goal Diff39
D
W
W
W
D
Alverca
10#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
D
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
FC Porto 4+
22.4%
2-0
19.1%
5.23
3-0
15.7%
6.39
1-0
15.5%
6.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
25% · 4.05
NO
75% · 1.33
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Porto
69% · 1.46
Draw
25% · 3.94
Alverca
6% · 16.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93
Under 48% · 2.08
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.19
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.41
Under 71% · 1.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FC Porto
D
W
W
W
D
Alverca
D
D
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
FC Porto
Stat
Alverca
2.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.32
#1
League Pos.
#10
66 pts
Points
28 pts
2.64
Points / Game
1.12
+39
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
FC Porto
Draw
Alverca
3
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
H
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
A
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.