Super League Super League April 4, 2026
FC Lugano

FC Lugano

10
FT
FC Thun

FC Thun

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
FC Lugano
Rank#4
Played31
Points51
PPG1.65
Goal Diff10
D D L W L
FC Thun
1#Rank
31Played
71Points
2.29PPG
37Goal Diff
L W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.64
1-0
11.5%
8.69
0-1
10.5%
9.48
0-0
9.3%
10.78
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC Lugano 27% · 3.68
Draw 35% · 2.88
FC Thun 38% · 2.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.36 Under 58% · 1.74
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46 Under 31% · 3.19
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.63 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC Lugano FC Lugano
D D L W L
FC Thun FC Thun
L W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

FC Lugano
Stat
FC Thun
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#4
League Pos.
#1
51 pts
Points
71 pts
1.65
Points / Game
2.29
+10
Goal Diff.
+37

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
FC Lugano
Draw
FC Thun
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Thun FC Thun A
32 23 2 7 +36 71
2
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
31 16 8 7 +23 56
3
FC Lugano FC Lugano H
32 15 9 8 +11 54
4
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
31 15 7 9 +8 52
5
FC Sion FC Sion
31 11 13 7 +9 46
6
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
FC Luzern FC Luzern
31 10 9 12 +6 39
8
Lausanne Lausanne
32 10 9 13 -7 39
9
Servette FC Servette FC
31 8 12 11 -3 36
10
FC Zurich FC Zurich
31 10 4 17 -16 34
11
Grasshoppers Grasshoppers
31 5 9 17 -23 24
12
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
32 4 7 21 -49 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record