Challenge League
March 21, 2026
FC Aarau
17:00
VS
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Predicted score
FC Aarau 4+
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
FC Aarau
Rank#2
Played26
Points59
PPG2.27
Goal Diff20
W
W
W
D
L
Neuchatel Xamax FC
5#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
0Goal Diff
W
D
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
FC Aarau 4+
12.7%
1-1
10.0%
10.04
2-1
9.7%
10.29
1-0
7.9%
12.59
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.63
NO
39% · 2.58
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
FC Aarau
50% · 2.0
Draw
31% · 3.2
Neuchatel Xamax FC
19% · 5.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61
Under 38% · 2.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21
Under 17% · 5.84
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.52
Under 60% · 1.66
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
FC Aarau
W
W
W
D
L
Neuchatel Xamax FC
W
D
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
FC Aarau
Stat
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.26
#2
League Pos.
#5
59 pts
Points
36 pts
2.27
Points / Game
1.38
+20
Goal Diff.
+0
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
FC Aarau
Draw
Neuchatel Xamax FC
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Vaduz
|
26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | +26 | 59 |
| 2 |
FC Aarau
H
|
26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | +20 | 59 |
| 3 |
Yverdon Sport
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +17 | 47 |
| 4 |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 39 |
| 5 |
Neuchatel Xamax FC
A
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +0 | 36 |
| 6 |
Rapperswil
|
26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | -11 | 29 |
| 7 |
FC WIL 1900
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 8 |
Étoile Carouge
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 |
Stade Nyonnais
|
26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 |
Bellinzona
|
26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.