Challenge League Challenge League March 13, 2026
FC Aarau

FC Aarau

20
FT
FC Vaduz

FC Vaduz

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
FC Aarau
Rank#2
Played25
Points56
PPG2.24
Goal Diff18
W W D L D
FC Vaduz
1#Rank
25Played
59Points
2.36PPG
28Goal Diff
D W W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.4%
9.65
2-1
8.7%
11.53
FC Aarau 4+
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
12.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 64% · 1.56
NO 36% · 2.77
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
FC Aarau 43% · 2.35
Draw 32% · 3.12
FC Vaduz 25% · 3.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6 Under 38% · 2.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

FC Aarau FC Aarau
W W D L D
FC Vaduz FC Vaduz
D W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

FC Aarau
Stat
FC Vaduz
1.67
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.55
#2
League Pos.
#1
56 pts
Points
59 pts
2.24
Points / Game
2.36
+18
Goal Diff.
+28

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Vaduz FC Vaduz A
26 18 5 3 +26 59
2
FC Aarau FC Aarau H
26 19 2 5 +20 59
3
Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport
26 14 5 7 +17 47
4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
26 11 6 9 +10 39
5
Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC
25 9 6 10 -1 33
6
Rapperswil Rapperswil
25 9 2 14 -10 29
7
FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900
26 6 9 11 -15 27
8
Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge
26 6 7 13 -11 25
9
Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
26 4 12 10 -8 24
10
Bellinzona Bellinzona
26 3 6 17 -28 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record