Primeira Liga
March 21, 2026
Famalicao
1–0
FT
Nacional
We predicted
1-0
43% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Famalicao
Rank#6
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff9
W
D
W
L
W
Nacional
15#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-8Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.5%
5.72
2-0
13.9%
7.18
0-0
11.0%
9.12
1-1
10.8%
9.26
Both Teams To Score
YES
37% · 2.72
NO
63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Famalicao
55% · 1.83
Draw
33% · 3.05
Nacional
13% · 7.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.63
Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54
Under 35% · 2.84
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.5
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Famalicao
W
D
W
L
W
Nacional
D
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Famalicao
Stat
Nacional
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.62
#6
League Pos.
#15
39 pts
Points
22 pts
1.56
Points / Game
0.88
+9
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Famalicao
Draw
Nacional
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | +42 | 69 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | +50 | 62 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +27 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
H
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +5 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 12 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 |
Rio Ave
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
A
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | -40 | 10 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.