Primeira Liga
April 10, 2026
Famalicao
19:45
VS
Moreirense
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Famalicao
Rank#6
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff9
W
D
W
L
W
Moreirense
7#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.2%
5.49
2-0
13.6%
7.34
0-0
12.2%
8.2
1-1
11.1%
8.98
Both Teams To Score
YES
35% · 2.82
NO
65% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Famalicao
53% · 1.88
Draw
34% · 2.97
Moreirense
13% · 7.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85
Under 65% · 1.54
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61
Under 38% · 2.64
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.19
Under 84% · 1.19
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Famalicao
W
D
W
L
W
Moreirense
D
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Famalicao
Stat
Moreirense
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.61
#6
League Pos.
#7
39 pts
Points
35 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.4
+9
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Famalicao
Draw
Moreirense
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
H
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
A
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.