Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 23, 2026
Famalicao

Famalicao

20
FT
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

We predicted

Famalicao 4+ 28% confidence
View full match details Monday, February 23 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Famalicao 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Famalicao
Rank#8
Played22
Points32
PPG1.45
Goal Diff6
L W L W W
Casa Pia
13#Rank
22Played
22Points
1.0PPG
-16Goal Diff
W D W D L
Most Likely Scores
Famalicao 4+
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
8.51
2-0
11.3%
8.83
1-1
10.3%
9.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Famalicao 62% · 1.61
Draw 22% · 4.63
Casa Pia 16% · 6.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89 Under 47% · 2.12
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.32
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.27 Under 69% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Famalicao Famalicao
L W L W W
Casa Pia Casa Pia
W D W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Famalicao
Stat
Casa Pia
1.93
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#8
League Pos.
#13
32 pts
Points
22 pts
1.45
Points / Game
1.0
+6
Goal Diff.
-16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
28 19 9 0 +41 66
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao H
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
28 10 7 11 +3 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Arouca Arouca
28 9 5 14 -20 32
12
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia A
27 5 10 12 -22 25
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record