Primeira Liga
May 17, 2026
Famalicao
16:00
VS
Alverca
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Famalicao
Rank#6
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff9
W
D
W
L
W
Alverca
10#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
D
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.2%
5.5
2-0
15.3%
6.52
0-0
10.8%
9.3
1-1
9.9%
10.15
Both Teams To Score
YES
34% · 2.93
NO
66% · 1.52
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Famalicao
57% · 1.75
Draw
32% · 3.14
Alverca
11% · 9.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.6
Under 62% · 1.62
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.88
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.39
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Famalicao
W
D
W
L
W
Alverca
D
D
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Famalicao
Stat
Alverca
1.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.54
#6
League Pos.
#10
39 pts
Points
28 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.12
+9
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
1 W
Famalicao
Draw
Alverca
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
H
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
A
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.