First League First League March 14, 2026
Fakel

Fakel

00
FT
Chernomorets

Chernomorets

We predicted

1-0 42% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Fakel
Rank#1
Played22
Points51
PPG2.32
Goal Diff19
W W W W W
Chernomorets
13#Rank
23Played
27Points
1.17PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.64
1-1
11.9%
8.38
2-0
10.3%
9.68
2-1
9.4%
10.6
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.11
NO 52% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Fakel 50% · 2.01
Draw 33% · 3.01
Chernomorets 17% · 5.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.17 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Fakel Fakel
W W W W W
Chernomorets Chernomorets
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Fakel
Stat
Chernomorets
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#1
League Pos.
#13
51 pts
Points
27 pts
2.32
Points / Game
1.17
+19
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Fakel
Draw
Chernomorets
1 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Fakel Fakel H
23 16 4 3 +19 52
2
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
24 11 10 3 +15 43
3
Ural Ural
23 12 6 5 +11 42
4
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
24 9 10 5 +6 37
5
Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk
23 9 9 5 +8 36
6
KAMAZ KAMAZ
24 8 10 6 +11 34
7
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
24 8 9 7 +7 33
8
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
24 8 9 7 -1 33
9
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
22 7 10 5 +3 31
10
Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl
23 7 8 8 -1 29
11
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
23 6 11 6 +3 29
12
Chernomorets Chernomorets A
24 7 7 10 -1 28
13
Enisey Enisey
23 6 9 8 -10 27
14
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
23 7 5 11 -9 26
15
Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
23 6 6 11 -12 24
16
FC UFA FC UFA
23 4 8 11 -8 20
17
Chayka Chayka
24 3 7 14 -27 16
18
FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov
23 2 10 11 -14 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record