League One
March 14, 2026
Exeter City
15:00
VS
Cardiff
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Exeter City
Rank#16
Played36
Points42
PPG1.17
Goal Diff-3
L
L
D
L
D
Cardiff
2#Rank
36Played
73Points
2.03PPG
30Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.11
Exeter City 4+
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
10.31
1-0
9.3%
10.72
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.74
NO
43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Exeter City
35% · 2.89
Draw
32% · 3.12
Cardiff
33% · 3.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78
Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.8
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.96
Under 66% · 1.51
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Exeter City
L
L
D
L
D
Cardiff
D
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Exeter City
Stat
Cardiff
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.18
#16
League Pos.
#2
42 pts
Points
73 pts
1.17
Points / Game
2.03
-3
Goal Diff.
+30
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
2 W
Exeter City
Draw
Cardiff
6
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln
|
36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | +35 | 77 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
A
|
36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | +30 | 73 |
| 3 |
Bolton
|
36 | 17 | 13 | 6 | +17 | 64 |
| 4 |
Bradford
|
36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 64 |
| 5 |
Stockport County
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +4 | 56 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield
|
36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | +10 | 55 |
| 7 |
Reading
|
36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | +6 | 54 |
| 8 |
Stevenage
|
35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 54 |
| 9 |
Wycombe
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 10 |
Plymouth
|
36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | +3 | 52 |
| 11 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 49 |
| 12 |
Luton
|
36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | +1 | 48 |
| 13 |
Barnsley
|
34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +0 | 48 |
| 14 |
Peterborough
|
35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | +1 | 46 |
| 15 |
Mansfield Town
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | +3 | 44 |
| 16 |
Exeter City
H
|
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -3 | 42 |
| 17 |
Burton Albion
|
36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |
Doncaster
|
35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | -20 | 40 |
| 19 |
Leyton Orient
|
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 39 |
| 20 |
Wigan
|
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -14 | 38 |
| 21 |
Blackpool
|
36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | -17 | 38 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | -15 | 35 |
| 23 |
Northampton
|
36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | -17 | 35 |
| 24 |
Port Vale
|
33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -20 | 27 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.