Eredivisie
April 26, 2026
Excelsior
10:15
VS
Utrecht
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Excelsior
Rank#15
Played26
Points26
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-17
L
L
L
L
W
Utrecht
9#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
7Goal Diff
D
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.55
0-1
12.3%
8.12
1-0
10.9%
9.14
0-0
10.2%
9.82
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.16
NO
54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Excelsior
19% · 5.14
Draw
37% · 2.7
Utrecht
43% · 2.3
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5
Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 2.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.07
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Excelsior
L
L
L
L
W
Utrecht
D
W
D
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Excelsior
Stat
Utrecht
1.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.21
#15
League Pos.
#9
26 pts
Points
35 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.35
-17
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Excelsior
Draw
Utrecht
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
A
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
H
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.