Eredivisie Eredivisie March 7, 2026
Excelsior

Excelsior

12
FT
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Excelsior
Rank#15
Played25
Points26
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-16
L L L W D
Heerenveen
9#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.96
1-0
10.9%
9.2
0-1
9.0%
11.12
2-1
8.8%
11.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.94
NO 48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Excelsior 43% · 2.3
Draw 34% · 2.95
Heerenveen 23% · 4.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Excelsior Excelsior
L L L W D
Heerenveen Heerenveen
W L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Excelsior
Stat
Heerenveen
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#15
League Pos.
#9
26 pts
Points
34 pts
1.04
Points / Game
1.36
-16
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Excelsior
Draw
Heerenveen
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
28 22 2 4 +41 68
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
28 14 8 6 +22 50
4
Ajax Ajax
28 12 12 4 +18 48
5
Twente Twente
28 12 11 5 +17 47
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
28 12 6 10 +2 42
7
Utrecht Utrecht
28 11 8 9 +11 41
8
Heerenveen Heerenveen A
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
10
Groningen Groningen
28 11 5 12 +3 38
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
28 10 5 13 -9 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
Telstar Telstar
28 6 9 13 -8 27
15
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior H
28 7 6 15 -18 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record