Premier League Premier League March 3, 2026
Everton

Everton

20
FT
Burnley

Burnley

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Everton
Rank#8
Played28
Points40
PPG1.43
Goal Diff-1
W L L W D
Burnley
19#Rank
28Played
19Points
0.68PPG
-24Goal Diff
L D W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
7.7
1-1
11.9%
8.4
2-0
10.3%
9.7
2-1
9.5%
10.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Everton 50% · 2.01
Draw 33% · 3.02
Burnley 17% · 5.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.49
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.13 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Everton Everton
W L L W D
Burnley Burnley
L D W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Everton
Stat
Burnley
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#8
League Pos.
#19
40 pts
Points
19 pts
1.43
Points / Game
0.68
-1
Goal Diff.
-24

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Everton
Draw
Burnley
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton H
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley A
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record