Premier League Premier League March 14, 2026
Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

42
FT
Awassa Kenema

Awassa Kenema

We predicted

0-1 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 4–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Rank#13
Played23
Points27
PPG1.17
Goal Diff-2
W L L W D
Awassa Kenema
2#Rank
23Played
40Points
1.74PPG
12Goal Diff
W D L D W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.4%
6.95
1-1
13.3%
7.53
0-0
12.1%
8.28
1-0
11.2%
8.97
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.38
NO 58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 31% · 3.22
Draw 32% · 3.16
Awassa Kenema 37% · 2.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.82 Under 65% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6 Under 38% · 2.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.11 Under 84% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
W L L W D
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
W D L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Stat
Awassa Kenema
0.92
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#13
League Pos.
#2
27 pts
Points
40 pts
1.17
Points / Game
1.74
-2
Goal Diff.
+12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
24 12 9 3 +16 45
2
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema A
24 11 7 6 +10 40
3
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
23 10 8 5 +8 38
4
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
24 9 9 6 +10 36
5
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
24 8 11 5 +2 35
6
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
23 8 10 5 +4 34
7
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
24 7 12 5 -1 33
8
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
23 9 5 9 -1 32
9
Bahardar Bahardar
24 6 13 5 +0 31
10
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank H
24 7 9 8 +0 30
11
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
24 6 12 6 +0 30
12
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
24 7 8 9 -5 29
13
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
24 6 10 8 +1 28
14
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
24 6 10 8 -6 28
15
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
24 6 10 8 -8 28
16
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
24 6 9 9 -3 27
17
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
23 5 11 7 +0 26
18
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
23 6 7 10 -4 25
19
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
23 4 10 9 -10 22
20
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
24 3 10 11 -13 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record