Primeira Liga
April 11, 2026
Estrela
19:30
VS
Sporting CP
Predicted score
Sporting CP 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Estrela
Rank#12
Played25
Points25
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-15
D
D
L
L
W
Sporting CP
2#Rank
25Played
62Points
2.48PPG
50Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
16.0%
0-2
15.1%
6.64
0-1
14.2%
7.05
0-3
10.6%
9.41
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.55
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Estrela
5% · 18.35
Draw
31% · 3.24
Sporting CP
64% · 1.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.98
Under 49% · 2.02
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.52
Under 72% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estrela
D
D
L
L
W
Sporting CP
D
W
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Estrela
Stat
Sporting CP
0.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.12
#12
League Pos.
#2
25 pts
Points
62 pts
1.0
Points / Game
2.48
-15
Goal Diff.
+50
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
5 W
Estrela
Draw
Sporting CP
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
A
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
H
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.