Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 8, 2026
Estrela

Estrela

22
FT
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

We predicted

0-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 8 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Estrela
Rank#12
Played24
Points24
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-15
D L L W D
GIL Vicente
5#Rank
24Played
40Points
1.67PPG
12Goal Diff
L L W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.2%
8.22
1-1
12.0%
8.33
0-2
9.6%
10.44
1-2
9.5%
10.57
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Estrela 18% · 5.48
Draw 33% · 3.01
GIL Vicente 49% · 2.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.63
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.93 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Estrela Estrela
D L L W D
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
L L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Estrela
Stat
GIL Vicente
0.99
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.57
#12
League Pos.
#5
24 pts
Points
40 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.67
-15
Goal Diff.
+12

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Estrela
Draw
GIL Vicente
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente A
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela H
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record