Primeira Liga
April 26, 2026
Estrela
16:00
VS
FC Porto
Predicted score
0-1
43% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Estrela
Rank#12
Played25
Points25
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-15
D
D
L
L
W
FC Porto
1#Rank
25Played
66Points
2.64PPG
39Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.3%
6.12
0-2
15.6%
6.43
FC Porto 4+
12.3%
0-3
9.9%
10.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
36% · 2.76
NO
64% · 1.57
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Estrela
6% · 16.72
Draw
32% · 3.11
FC Porto
62% · 1.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25
Under 56% · 1.8
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42
Under 30% · 3.37
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.32
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estrela
D
D
L
L
W
FC Porto
D
W
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Estrela
Stat
FC Porto
0.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.91
#12
League Pos.
#1
25 pts
Points
66 pts
1.0
Points / Game
2.64
-15
Goal Diff.
+39
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Estrela
Draw
FC Porto
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
A
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
H
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.