Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
Estrela
16:00
VS
Famalicao
Predicted score
0-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Estrela
Rank#12
Played25
Points25
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-15
D
D
L
L
W
Famalicao
6#Rank
25Played
39Points
1.56PPG
9Goal Diff
W
D
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.5%
7.43
1-1
13.4%
7.45
0-0
11.8%
8.47
1-0
11.8%
8.49
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.33
NO
57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Estrela
23% · 4.36
Draw
36% · 2.8
Famalicao
41% · 2.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.78
Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.7
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.95
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Estrela
D
D
L
L
W
Famalicao
W
D
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Estrela
Stat
Famalicao
1.0
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#12
League Pos.
#6
25 pts
Points
39 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.56
-15
Goal Diff.
+9
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Estrela
Draw
Famalicao
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
A
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
H
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.