Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 March 15, 2026
El Palmar

El Palmar

13
FT
Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
El Palmar
Rank#13
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-8
W W L L W
Santa Cruz
7#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
2Goal Diff
D L W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.5%
7.41
1-0
13.3%
7.52
0-1
12.5%
8.03
0-0
12.3%
8.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.37
NO 58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
El Palmar 40% · 2.5
Draw 36% · 2.78
Santa Cruz 24% · 4.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.86 Under 65% · 1.54
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.63
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.22 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

El Palmar El Palmar
W W L L W
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
D L W L D

Key Stats Comparison

El Palmar
Stat
Santa Cruz
1.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.02
#13
League Pos.
#7
27 pts
Points
35 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.4
-8
Goal Diff.
+2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Cieza Cieza
26 18 5 3 +36 59
2
Real Murcia II Real Murcia II
26 16 7 5 +21 53
3
Unión Molinense Unión Molinense
26 14 6 6 +9 48
4
Olímpico Totana Olímpico Totana
26 12 9 5 +14 45
5
Mazarrón FC Mazarrón FC
26 11 10 5 +13 43
6
UCAM Murcia II UCAM Murcia II
26 10 11 5 +8 41
7
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz A
26 11 5 10 +4 38
8
Atlético Pulpileño Atlético Pulpileño
25 9 8 8 -1 35
9
Águilas II Águilas II
26 8 9 9 -1 33
10
Cartagena LU II Cartagena LU II
26 8 8 10 +3 32
11
SFC Minerva SFC Minerva
25 7 9 9 -9 30
12
Bala Azul Bala Azul
26 5 14 7 +2 29
13
El Palmar El Palmar H
26 7 6 13 -10 27
14
Balsicas Atlético Balsicas Atlético
26 6 7 13 -12 25
15
UD Caravaca UD Caravaca
26 4 11 11 -11 23
16
Santomera Santomera
26 5 8 13 -21 23
17
Muleño Muleño
26 4 9 13 -21 21
18
Yeclano II Yeclano II
26 4 8 14 -24 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record