Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 14, 2026
Durango

Durango

40
FT
Touring

Touring

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Durango
Rank#10
Played25
Points33
PPG1.32
Goal Diff1
L L L W L
Touring
3#Rank
25Played
44Points
1.76PPG
12Goal Diff
W W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.0%
7.15
1-1
12.9%
7.78
0-0
10.4%
9.62
0-1
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Durango 32% · 3.13
Draw 35% · 2.88
Touring 33% · 3.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54 Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51 Under 34% · 2.95
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.18 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Durango Durango
L L L W L
Touring Touring
W W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Durango
Stat
Touring
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#10
League Pos.
#3
33 pts
Points
44 pts
1.32
Points / Game
1.76
+1
Goal Diff.
+12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
25 20 3 2 +39 63
2
Leioa Leioa
26 15 4 7 +14 49
3
Touring Touring A
26 12 8 6 +10 44
4
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
25 13 5 7 +5 44
5
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
25 13 3 9 +14 42
6
San Ignacio San Ignacio
26 12 6 8 +8 42
7
Derio Derio
25 12 4 9 +9 40
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
26 10 7 9 +10 37
9
Durango Durango H
26 9 9 8 +3 36
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
25 10 5 10 +0 35
11
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
25 10 3 12 -6 33
12
Eibar III Eibar III
25 7 6 12 -10 27
13
Santurtzi Santurtzi
25 6 9 10 -10 27
14
Añorga Añorga
26 8 3 15 -21 27
15
Zamudio Zamudio
26 7 5 14 -13 26
16
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
25 6 6 13 -15 24
17
Zarautz Zarautz
26 6 4 16 -25 22
18
Deusto Deusto
25 5 6 14 -12 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record