Liga de Expansión MX
March 15, 2026
Dorados
1–1
FT
Leones Negros UDG
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Dorados
Rank#15
Played14
Points5
PPG0.36
Goal Diff-18
L
D
L
D
L
Leones Negros UDG
6#Rank
14Played
21Points
1.5PPG
2Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.8
1-0
10.8%
9.29
0-1
9.8%
10.18
2-1
8.4%
11.95
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Dorados
28% · 3.63
Draw
34% · 2.92
Leones Negros UDG
38% · 2.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2
Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.47
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.15
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Dorados
L
D
L
D
L
Leones Negros UDG
W
W
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Dorados
Stat
Leones Negros UDG
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#15
League Pos.
#6
5 pts
Points
21 pts
0.36
Points / Game
1.5
-18
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Dorados
Draw
Leones Negros UDG
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
A
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
H
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.