Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Diocesano

Diocesano

00
FT
Montehermoso

Montehermoso

We predicted

1-0 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Diocesano
Rank#15
Played24
Points20
PPG0.83
Goal Diff-19
L D L L W
Montehermoso
17#Rank
25Played
18Points
0.72PPG
-26Goal Diff
W L W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.1%
8.29
1-1
11.8%
8.49
2-0
9.8%
10.19
2-1
9.6%
10.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.0
NO 50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Diocesano 50% · 2.02
Draw 33% · 3.04
Montehermoso 18% · 5.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Diocesano Diocesano
L D L L W
Montehermoso Montehermoso
W L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Diocesano
Stat
Montehermoso
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#15
League Pos.
#17
20 pts
Points
18 pts
0.83
Points / Game
0.72
-19
Goal Diff.
-26

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
26 16 6 4 +36 54
2
Moralo Moralo
26 14 8 4 +19 50
3
Badajoz Badajoz
26 15 5 6 +14 47
4
Azuaga Azuaga
26 13 7 6 +13 46
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
26 12 9 5 +18 45
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
26 10 12 4 +11 42
7
Villanovense Villanovense
26 10 8 8 +3 38
8
Jerez Jerez
26 7 15 4 +10 36
9
Villafranca Villafranca
26 10 6 10 -1 36
10
Llerenense Llerenense
26 10 5 11 -2 35
11
Montijo Montijo
26 9 6 11 -1 33
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
26 9 6 12 -9 32
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
26 7 12 8 -7 32
14
Gévora Gévora
26 5 8 13 -18 23
15
Diocesano Diocesano H
25 4 9 12 -19 21
16
Calamonte Calamonte
26 3 10 13 -13 19
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso A
26 4 7 15 -26 19
18
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
25 4 5 16 -28 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record