Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
March 21, 2026
Deusto
16:30
VS
Santurtzi
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Deusto
Rank#18
Played26
Points21
PPG0.81
Goal Diff-13
L
W
D
L
L
Santurtzi
13#Rank
26Played
28Points
1.08PPG
-10Goal Diff
D
L
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.7%
6.83
1-1
12.6%
7.96
0-0
10.4%
9.58
2-0
10.3%
9.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.3
NO
57% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Deusto
34% · 2.96
Draw
34% · 2.91
Santurtzi
32% · 3.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.55
Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.94
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.21
Under 81% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Deusto
L
W
D
L
L
Santurtzi
D
L
D
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Deusto
Stat
Santurtzi
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#18
League Pos.
#13
21 pts
Points
28 pts
0.81
Points / Game
1.08
-13
Goal Diff.
-10
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Deusto
Draw
Santurtzi
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +41 | 67 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Derio
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +6 | 46 |
| 6 |
Lagun Onak
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +13 | 43 |
| 7 |
San Ignacio
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 37 |
| 9 |
Durango
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Real Sociedad III
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 |
Aretxabaleta
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 |
Pasaia KE
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 28 |
| 13 |
Santurtzi
A
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -10 | 28 |
| 14 |
Eibar III
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 |
Añorga
|
27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 |
Zamudio
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 |
Deusto
H
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.